FC Augsburg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
15º
12º
56
5º
17º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 6
SCH
39%
23%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
AUG
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
4 - 3
BUC
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAH
1 - 1
AUG
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 3
AUB
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
WUR
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 3
GRE
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUR
0 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |