FC Augsburg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ILL
4 - 0
AUG
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 3
AUG
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
AUG
3 - 1
WAC
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 1
AUG
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 4
AUG
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 5
BAY
11%
18%
72%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
19%
21%
61%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCP
56%
21%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 1
MEM
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EIC
1 - 3
BAY
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |