Auerbach vs Meuselwitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 1
AUE
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AUE
3 - 1
BDR
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
AUE
3 - 0
BUD
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
AUE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
AUE
2 - 1
EIL
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Meuselwitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MEU
3 - 5
GER
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
EIL
4 - 1
MEU
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MEU
2 - 0
OBE
77%
14%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAG
3 - 3
MEU
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MEU
0 - 2
ENE
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |