Auerbach vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
AUE
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 1
ERZ
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
AUE
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AUE
0 - 0
MEU
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
GER
0 - 3
AUE
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GWW
3 - 0
EIL
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
EIL
2 - 2
ROT
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
BUD
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GER
3 - 2
EIL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
EIL
0 - 0
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |