Auerbach vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MEU
0 - 0
AUE
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
AUE
5 - 1
SAC
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUE
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 4
AUE
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AUE
1 - 2
GER
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
EIL
1 - 4
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MEU
2 - 1
EIL
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
EIL
2 - 2
POS
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 3
EIL
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
EIL
1 - 2
POS
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |