Auerbach vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
OBE
1 - 4
AUE
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
AUE
1 - 1
HAL
31%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 0
MAG
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ENE
1 - 3
AUE
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AUE
4 - 1
POS
45%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
EIL
1 - 0
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
EIL
1 - 3
BUD
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
OBE
1 - 5
EIL
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
EIL
1 - 3
MAG
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
EIL
2 - 0
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |