Auerbach vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
AUE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AUE
1 - 1
MEU
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUE
3 - 0
CHL
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
AUE
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AUE
0 - 4
COT
23%
26%
52%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
BFC
5 - 0
BUD
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COT
3 - 1
BFC
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
BFC
4 - 1
NEU
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 3
BFC
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
VIK
1 - 3
BFC
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |