Audax São Paulo vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
3 - 1
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
AUD
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |