Audax São Paulo vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
AUD
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 2
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AUD
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |