Audax São Paulo vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 2
OES
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 2
AUD
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 4
GUA
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
AUD
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 0
VOT
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 4
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
OES
1 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |