Paulista A3 Final
Global 4-2
Audax São Paulo vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
AUD
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUD
3 - 3
PRI
59%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DES
1 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |