Copa Paulista Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Audax São Paulo vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
AUD
24%
25%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
AUD
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 3
AUD
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 1
XVD
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
AUD
24%
25%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
MIR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |