Audax São Paulo vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
AUD
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
AUD
17%
25%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
AUD
21%
27%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 1
CAL
76%
18%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
CAL
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |