Audax Rio vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AME
0 - 1
AUD
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 1
DUQ
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
OLA
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 2
BAN
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 0
DUQ
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLA
0 - 1
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 1
BAN
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
PET
1 - 1
ADC
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 2
RES
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |