Audax Italiano vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 0
ACS
29%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ACS
4 - 2
CSL
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
ACS
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 1
HUA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |