Audace Cerignola vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 0
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SSM
1 - 2
AUD
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
AUD
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAV
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 1
RAA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 0
CAV
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 3
RPO
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |