Audace Cerignola vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
0 - 3
AUD
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
AUD
26%
23%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
AUD
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
AUD
0 - 2
JUS
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSM
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
NAR
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |