Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 0
AUD
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
LAT
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 4
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAV
0 - 2
AUD
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 0
AUD
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SAS
2 - 1
ATA
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ATA
7 - 1
SAS
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ABN
1 - 3
ATA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
ATA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |