FK Auda vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 5
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 2
AUD
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
2 - 0
VAL
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
FSM
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |