FK Auda vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 2
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
69%
19%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
4 - 1
AUD
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
LIE
7%
17%
77%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |