FK Auda vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
0 - 0
AUD
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIG
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AUD
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
LIE
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 2
CAR
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |