FK Auda vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 2
AUD
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
FKT
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 0
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 3
FKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |