FK Auda vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUD
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |