FK Auda vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.6%
+6
0.6%
5-0
2.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
6.2%
+4
6.2%
3-0
14.7%
+3
14.7%
2-0
26.3%
+2
26.3%
1-0
31.3%
+1
31.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
18.7%
0
18.7%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
AUD
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUD
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 6
RIG
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |