FK Auda vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
4º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
50% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
AUD
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 2
AUD
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
AUD
4 - 1
FSM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 1
RIG
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 2
CAR
31%
24%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |