FK Auda vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 5
FKJ
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |