FK Auda vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUD
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
AUD
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 3
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
77%
17%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
1 - 3
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |