Auckland United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
4º
30
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 41 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 29 |
8º
|
90% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
41.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
AFC
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 3
AFC
14%
17%
68%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 1
AFC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
BAO
0 - 2
AFC
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 0
AFC
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
4 - 1
TCU
55%
20%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
5 - 2
TCU
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
3 - 3
BAO
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
EAS
3 - 1
FEN
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WES
2 - 1
EAS
57%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |