Auckland United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
FHM
2 - 3
AFC
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ESU
0 - 1
AFC
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
CEN
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
AFC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
NSH
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
HAW
1 - 2
EAS
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TEA
7 - 0
EAS
62%
20%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
WAI
4 - 0
EAS
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |