Auckland II vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+560%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
11º
9º
35
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 48 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 44 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 1
AUC
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 1
WCR
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 4
AUC
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
ECB
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
5 - 2
AUC
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
WES
2 - 0
FEN
87%
9%
5%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BAO
0 - 3
WES
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
WES
2 - 3
BIR
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
WES
0 - 3
TCU
61%
18%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AUC
0 - 1
WES
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |