Auckland II vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
51.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+560%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
11º
9º
11
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 48 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 44 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
0 - 2
AUC
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ECB
2 - 1
AUC
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
AFC
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 3
FEN
31%
21%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
TCU
3 - 0
AUC
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 0
BIR
8%
12%
80%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
FEN
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BAO
0 - 1
MAN
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAN
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
WES
2 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |