Auckland II vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+560%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
11º
9º
30
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 41 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 29 |
8º
|
90% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 3
TCU
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FEN
1 - 1
AUC
79%
13%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FEN
1 - 3
EAS
15%
18%
68%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BAO
2 - 1
EAS
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 2
WSU
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
EAS
60%
18%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 2
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |