Auckland City vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUC
2 - 2
WAI
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 3
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HAW
1 - 6
AUC
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
1 - 1
AUC
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 1
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
6 - 0
MAN
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |