Auchinleck Talbot vs St. Cuthbert Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auchinleck Talbot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 5
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 0
AUC
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
3 - 1
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AUC
8 - 1
THR
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LOS
1 - 2
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAW
0 - 1
STC
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ELG
3 - 1
STC
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
STC
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
KEI
0 - 1
STC
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STC
0 - 2
KEI
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |