Auch Football vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
0 - 2
NÎM
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
4 - 1
AUC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
AUC
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 1
TRO
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 2
GAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
BEZ
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
5 - 0
GAZ
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 2
ORL
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |