Aucas vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
COL
5 - 0
AUC
29%
31%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 1
MAN
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
IMB
3 - 1
AUC
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
AUC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
TEC
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SSR
3 - 1
OLM
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
OLM
37%
29%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
OLM
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
IMB
0 - 1
OLM
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |