Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
5 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
EME
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
OCT
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
EME
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 0
MUS
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 1
MUS
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |