Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
AUC
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 2
IMB
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 1
AME
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MUS
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 2
LDU
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |