Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
AUC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
BSC
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 2
CUE
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 1
MUS
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 0
LIG
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
EME
4 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |