Aucas vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
AUC
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AUC
4 - 1
UCE
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIG
1 - 1
AUC
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 0
AUC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |