Aucas vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 2
TEC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MET
3 - 2
AUC
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUC
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 1
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATP
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 1
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUC
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |