Aucas vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 1
AUC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
UCE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |