Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 0
AUC
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 2
CUN
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUE
2 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BSC
0 - 4
IVT
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 0
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |