Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis

Aucas Independiente del Valle
80 ELO 81
7% Tilt -1.1%
677º General ELO ranking 655º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.9%
Aucas
24.7%
Draw
25.4%
Independiente del Valle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
Aucas
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.4%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aucas
+2%
+25%
Independiente del Valle

Points and table prediction

Aucas
Their league position
Independiente del Valle
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
16º
12º
30
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liga de Quito
32
35
100%
Independiente del Valle
30
30
100%
Universidad Católica
26
26
100%
Barcelona SC
25
25
0%
Orense
25
25
0%
Mushuc Runa
23
23
0%
Libertad FC
23
23
0%
Técnico Universitario
22
22
0%
Delfín
22
22
0%
CD El Nacional
10º
19
19
10º
100%
Deportivo Cuenca
13º
13
16
11º
0%
Aucas
11º
16
16
12º
0%
Macará
12º
15
15
13º
100%
CS Emelec
16º
9
12
14º
100%
Imbabura
14º
11
11
15º
100%
Cumbayá
15º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 0
Aucas
AUC
48%
24%
28%
81 81 0 0
17 Aug. 2024
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
49%
25%
27%
81 81 0 0
13 Aug. 2024
TEC
Técnico Universitario
2 - 0
Aucas
AUC
44%
26%
31%
81 81 0 0
03 Aug. 2024
ORE
Orense
4 - 0
Aucas
AUC
37%
27%
36%
81 79 2 0
20 Jul. 2024
LCF
Castellana
1 - 5
Aucas
AUC
3%
9%
88%
81 10 71 0

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2024
CUN
Vinotinto Ecuador
1 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
51%
22%
26%
81 78 3 0
25 Aug. 2024
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Técnico Universitario
TEC
46%
26%
28%
81 81 0 0
17 Aug. 2024
CFC
Cumbayá
1 - 3
Independiente del Valle
IVT
23%
28%
49%
81 71 10 0
11 Aug. 2024
BSC
Barcelona SC
3 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
44%
27%
29%
81 81 0 0
03 Aug. 2024
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 2
Delfín
DEL
42%
26%
32%
81 81 0 0