Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 4
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
AUC
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
FAM
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 1
ORE
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 1
OLM
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |