Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 1
AUC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 3
LIG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |