Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis

Aucas Independiente del Valle
75 ELO 78
4.5% Tilt -6.9%
657º General ELO ranking 653º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.6%
Aucas
26.6%
Draw
37.8%
Independiente del Valle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Aucas
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aucas
+5%
+14%
Independiente del Valle

ELO progression

Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2018
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 2
Aucas
AUC
58%
23%
19%
74 76 2 0
23 Jun. 2018
AUC
Aucas
0 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
37%
28%
36%
74 79 5 0
16 Jun. 2018
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
Macará
MAC
48%
26%
27%
74 74 0 0
11 Jun. 2018
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 1
Aucas
AUC
61%
23%
16%
74 80 6 0
03 Jun. 2018
AUC
Aucas
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
63%
22%
15%
74 67 7 0

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2018
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
45%
27%
28%
78 81 3 0
26 Jun. 2018
RIV
Guayaquil City
0 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
24%
27%
49%
78 67 11 0
19 Jun. 2018
IVT
Independiente del Valle
3 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
62%
22%
16%
78 69 9 0
12 Jun. 2018
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
39%
26%
35%
78 75 3 0
02 Jun. 2018
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 3
Liga de Quito
LIG
49%
26%
25%
78 78 0 0