Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
BSC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOJ
3 - 2
IVT
20%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
IVT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
24%
26%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |