Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
EME
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
TEC
1 - 1
UCE
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 0
TEC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
2 - 0
ORE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
TEC
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TEC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |