Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
MET
3 - 2
AUC
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUC
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 1
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 3
OLM
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
TEC
1 - 3
MUS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
EME
2 - 0
TEC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
3 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |