Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 0
DEL
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
EME
2 - 0
AUC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
BSC
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 2
CUE
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
TEC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
TEC
3 - 2
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 3
TEC
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
TEC
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |